Air Force (@2.47) vs Colorado (@1.57)

Our Prediction:

Colorado will win

Air Force – Colorado Match Prediction | 14-09-2019 13:00

I think the clear value in this spot is on the Colorado State side of things. The problem for Air Force in this particular match-up is their mediocre defense. The Falcons cant seem to really stop anybody, ranking outside of the top 100 nationwide in scoring defense. They are now tasked with facing a top 40 offense that is playing at home. There is no question that the Falcons have a very impressive rushing attack. They are undoubtedly one of the top few teams in the entire country on the ground.

Stevens will be great from the pocket, but hell get picked off once, and that will end up being the deciding factor in a win for Air Force. Romines return will have a huge impact on this game. Owens will find running room and carve a path to the end zone to help out. Hes going to run for about 75 yards on double-digit carries, but hes also going to make the throws he needs to make to keep the Falcons ahead.

He has thrown for 1,103 yards and five touchdowns, but also has six interceptions. Offensively, Colorado State is putting up just 23.2 points and 408.1 yards per game. Izzy Matthews has rushed for 665 yards and four touchdowns. Preston Williams is the leading receiver with 84 catches for 1,097 yards and 11 touchdowns. Their run defense is giving up over 200 yards per game. Collin Hill has taken over starting QB duties as of late. The Rams are really a mess on defense right now, allowing 37.6 points and 449.9 yards per game.

They have a big rushing attack, averaging 273.7 yards per contest. Defensively, Air Force is giving up 26.4 points and 354 yards per game. The Falcons are putting up 30.5 points and 409.6 yards per game on offense this year. Cole Fagan is leading the ground attack with 737 yards and six touchdowns while Isaiah Sanders has added 466 rushing yards and six touchdowns with 844 passing yards and four touchdowns.

Air Force vs. Colorado State Fearless Prediction & Game Preview

Colorado State is currently 54th overall in rushing defense, which is slightly above average. In my opinion, it is fairly clear that the Rams are the superior team on both sides of the ball. They should have no problem covering the spread in this one while also remaining undefeated against the Mountain West Conference. The Rams will certainly allow Air Force to find some measure of success on the ground, but I dont think it will be enough to keep this game close for four quarters. I think Colorado State finds a way to win this game by at least two touchdowns at home.

Colorado State (5-4) hasnt quite had a smooth ride this season. Mike Bobos team took down UNLV on the road three weeks ago, recovered with a bye week and then beat Fresno State last weekend, 37-0. Its been plagued by injuries like many others, but the Rams have won back-to-back games for the second time this season.

Air Force had some quality wins this season (Navy, Army), however, the Falcons have struggled against Mountain West this season which includes a home loss to Hawai'i. Colorado State has been playing their best football of the season as of late and as long as QB Nick Stevens can do some damage through the air, I think the Rams will keep this one close enough to cover with the points. Air Force is known for their solid rushing attack however, the Falcons are also one of the best at the stopping the run as their rushing defense currently ranks 14th in the country. Colorado State has really turned a corner over the last month as since their loss at home against Wyoming, the Rams are 3-1 and are averaging 33.3 ppg.

(7.2 att/g, 38.7 yds/g, 5 TD). Leading the way for the Rams was WR Michael Gallup who had a TD and 126 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Colorado State outgained Fresno State by a 494-232 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. On the season, Colorado State is averaging 27.9 ppg on 418.9 total yards per game (219.9 passing, 199.0 rushing). Colorado State has only forced their opponents to commit 10 turnovers on the season however, the Rams do have an overall turnover margin of 0. QB Nick Stevens, who regained his starting QB job after Collin Hill was lost for the season due to injury, has completed 60.0% of his passes for 6 TD and 2 INT while averaging 123.3 passing yds/game. Offensively, the Rams have been led by their solid rushing attack that consists of Dalyn Dawkins (13.3 att/g, 61.8 yds/g, TD), Izzy Matthews (11.2 att/g, 49.0 yds/g, 8 TD), and Marvin Kinsey, Jr. Defensively, Colorado State is holding their opponents to an average of 24.8 ppg on 396.9 total yards per game (219.9 passing, 177.0 rushing). Michael Gallup (5.0 rec/g, 77.3 yds/g, 6 TD) and Olabisi Johnson (1.9 rec/g, 28.0 yds/g, 2 TD) have been the biggest WR threats for the Rams. The Colorado State Rams won their 2nd straight game and improved to 5-4 (3-2 MW) on the season after defeating the Fresno State Bulldogs, 37-0, this past Saturday. Colorado State had their best defensive game of the season and had no problems putting away the Bulldogs after taking a 23-0 lead at halftime.

Stevens has to continue to protect the football, take what the defense gives him and lead the Rams down the field. But he has to make Colorado State pay if it tries to cheat the run. If he can air it out and prevent Air Force from stacking the box, the Rams will be in good shape. If Romine can be accurate with the football through the air, this will be interesting. Their games are very different, but both play huge roles for their respective teams as every quarterback does. As for Romine, he needs to get back to moving the sticks with his running ability.

More Air Force!

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