Ayr (@3.8) vs Dundee Utd (@1.95)
15-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Dundee Utd will win

Ayr – Dundee Utd Match Prediction | 15-09-2019 10:00

Facing one of their chief promotion rivals, who just so happen to be coming here off the back of a big win, in such form is far from ideal. Fridays hosts have failed to win any of their last six matches in all competitions, while theyve lost their last three. They may be in a rather flattering league position; just two points off top spot and six ahead of Queen of the South, who currently occupy fourth place,but Ayr dont come into this fixture in good form.

The Terrors are currently in 2nd place and are hot on league leaders Ross Countys tails, although the Dingwall side are 5 points clear and with a game in hand that theyve yet to play. United didnt get March off to a good start, as they lost their games against Inverness CT in the Scottish FA Cup quarter-final and then to Partick Thistle in the league. Robbie Neilsons side needed a good run of games going into the latter stages of the season, as they had to face Ross County twice in the space of 2 weeks.

Today's Tips

It is the visitors who boast the slightly better expected-goals against figures, though the hosts seemingly offer lots more going the other way. Backing the hosts to put their extra forward quality to good use is the way to go ahead of this clash. Ayr have conceded an average 0.89 goals on their own patch, while Dundee United have also conceded an average of 0.89 on the road. With Ayr currently averaging two goals and 1.9 expected goals for at Somerset Park, against a side that are averaging 1.22 goals and just 1.1 expected goals for on the road, theyre the team to side with at the prices. From a defensive point of view, theres not too much between what Ayr have done at home and what the visitors have done on the road.

This number may also have something to do with the fact that Dundee United are now without a win in three on the road. However, thats not to say that theyve been poor. Moreover, their average of 1.1 expected goals for tells us that theyre not exactly blowing teams away. Unlike the hosts, Dundee United have not been overly fluent in the final third when playing away from the comforts of home. In fact, Robbie Neilsons men have only scored more than in three of their nine travelling matches during the current campaign, while theyre yet to notch more than twice. The visitors are yet to return from an away match without scoring, though theyve rarely gone mad in terms of goals scored.

The Dee were given a boost yesterday with the signing of striker Kane Hemmings from Notts County. Shaun Byrne, a key figure in Livingstons promotion to the Premiership, is also a new addition in the centre of midfield. Hemmings supplements attacking options which include former Ayr United winger Declan McDaid and Danny Johnson, signed from Motherwell during the summer. The former Rangers youth, who shot to prominence with Cowdenbeath, scored 28 goals in 44 games for Dundee in his first spell with the club before moving to Oxford United in 2016 in a deal reportedly worth 250,000.

Prediction Ayr Utd. - Dundee United

Theyve not been battered since the turn of the year, far from it, but theyve lost two league games on the bounce and have been bettered in terms of creativity on both occasions. They were dominating opponents, in terms of territory, chances created Ayr bettered their opponents in terms of expected goals in each of their four games between the end of November and the start of 2019 and were ultimately tough to beat. Prior to the start of the new year, Ayr were ticking along very nicely indeed.

After opening up with a 3-0 over Raith Rovers; McPakes side were held to goalless draws at Cove Rangers and at home to Peterhead, winning the subsequent penalty shoot-out on both occasions, before edging out Inverness Caledonian Thistle 1-0 in the decisive fixture. They opened up their league campaign at Dunfermline last Friday night, coming back from two goals down to grab a point, both goals coming from the penalty spot. Dundee progressed to last sixteen of the Betfred Cup without conceding a goal in the Group stages.

Fortunately, Ayr have an excellent scoring record on their own patch, as theyve notched 19 goals in nine home games this season, while theyre currently averaging a very pleasing 1.9 expected goals for. The fact Ian McCalls men have scored just once in their last four league matches is a tad worrying, though theyve only dipped below 1.0 expected goals for in one of those four, so perhaps theyve been unlucky. Such numbers tell us that Fridays hosts have few attacking problems at Somerset Park.

Reason For Dundee United vs Ayr Betting Tips

For all of our match predictions, pre-game poll and statistics for Ayr United v Dundee United, scroll down (including the best match odds). Were therefore anticipating a very competitive game with a 0-0 draw at the end of the 90. Weve got the feeling that Dundee United and Ayr United might both not be able to do quite enough to get on the scoresheet here.

However, Ian McCalls side can still make it into the Premiership, as they are currently on 50 points and in 3rdplace, 6 points ahead of Dunfermline Athletic and one in front of Inverness CT- and with a game in hand. This campaign saw them rise up to the top extremely early on in the season, but the cracks began to show over the course of the season, and the Ayrshire side lost its lead a few months ago.

It was great to have 4 different scorers and there is plenty of confidence around the team. Ian says: We were delighted to start the league season with a win and even more so to do it with such a good performance.